random mtt results

Played 4mtts yesterday am after work. Played my favorite mtt at 10 am on bodog (15+1 buy for 5000 chips and 5/10 starting blinds that progress slowly). This tourney sometimes guarantees $1500 sometimes $2000. It used to have a nice overlay every time, but lately has been close to meeting the guarantee. The reason this is my favorite is because with this stack and those blinds, you can play a lot of different starting hands early that can hit big and be disguised from all different positions...and you will be paid off (people love to stack off with top pair top kicker and weak draws). When you whiff, it is easy release at a relatively small hit to your stack. The other thing that is nice is that when you get to the final table, it is not unusual for at least 7 of the 9 left to have at least 15bb = still lots of room to play poker. This being said, I bubbled 19th yesterday with 18 paying (but I got my money in good trying to get a big stack>>>if you ain't first your last). Also played the 11am bodog 1700 guarantee for 9+1 buyin and busted fairly early just after the first break. Played the 10am $26 buyin FTP 10K? guar. Got double my starting stack early, then raised 3x utg with JJ. A guy had just been moved to our table with a custom avatar named David Bradley. I had never heard of him, but having a custom avatar, I checked the lobby to see if he was listed in red (FTP pro). Sure enough he was. Anyway, he reraises my 360chip raise allin for his 3200 chip stack. It folds around to me, and here is my genious thought process...no way a pro who knows he is better than the field throws his entire stack in pre unless he is >70% favorite over expected $26 token tourney calling hands of any pp >77 AKs AKo AQs (being generous on assumtion given we are so early in tourn.). So I figure he must have KK or AA here and fully be expecting a call from a weaker hand salivating over his buyin bounty and the T-shirt. So what do I do after this analysis...I call like he should expect this salivating (J)erkoff (D)onkey to do. My genious rationale is "I still have about 2600 chips left if I lose, which is just under the starting stack and no different than having been card dead the first 35minutes." Anyway, the cards are exposed and he has AKo...I flop the unneeded set...get the bounty and T-shirt...have a 9K stack with average at 3.8K...and proceed to donk off my stack over the next 30 minutes. Such is the life of a net losing poker player, OPR bottom dweller, call station, etc. The fourth tourney I played was a rebuy on Pokerstars. I almost never play that site, but had some money there and was in the mood for a rebuy. It was an $8 rebuy and add-on with a 20k guarantee (ended up with 33k prize pool). 1068 entrants. I initially just bought in once and doubled on the second hand to 3k. Later in the first orbit, I doubled again by winning a 3 way pot to get to 6k. A couple of orbits later I gamble with AQs against a guy that had me covered and he stacks me with KK. I double rebuy and go on an absolute heater. By the time the rebuy period ends, I am at 31K and am in 5th place. I opt not to rebuy as I am already chip leader at my table and don't see any major advantage of moving my stack up less than 10% by moving my net buyin up over 30%. Anyway, I go dead the second hour and finish at the next break with roughly the same stack of 31k. 3rd hour brings better luck and I hang between 10th and 25th for the majority of the next hour. 180 spots paid and the bubble passes when I get down to an M of 4. I shove over a cutoff's raise (me on button) for my last 42k chips with QJo and it folds around. I was 54 of 56 going in to this hand. Very next hand I get 88 cutoff and shove over mp's limp to take blinds antes and his limp. Next hand I get 10 10. Big stack raises from ep and it folds to me in the hijack. I decide to gamble and shove. He calls with AKo and I win the flip. So in the course of 3 hands I go from 54 of 56 to 14 of 54. Table gets active and I blind down to M of 6. I open for a steal from the button and get flatted by sb and bb folds. I have Q 10 and flop comes J 10 4 rainbow. SB checks and I bet 1/2 my stack...sb tanks and shoves. I call comitted and am ahead with my 10s (sb has AKo). Turn is a King and I am out 44th. Shiatt. Till next time.
JD